104 G · 110 A · 537 GP
0.399 P/GP · 31 PPP · 15:22 ATOI
Toronto Maple Leafs#20Active
Nick Paul
L · 6′4″ / 234 lb · Shoots L · Mississauga, CAN · Age 31 · 2013 #101 by DAL
214Career points
0.399Career P/GP
537Games played
104Goals
11 seasonsNHL service
Overview
2025-2615points
The latest read.
15 points in 51 games in 2025-26. Career: 214 points across 537 games.
51GP
7goals
8assists
15points
68shots
3PP points
The career ledger.
Regular season and playoffsofficial NHL landing
10 G · 4 A · 45 GP
0.311 P/GP · 2 PPP · 16:50 ATOI
0.208 → 0.294P/GP by season · 10 seasons of 10+ GP · peak 2023-24
The arc.
Points and points per game by seasonNHL season log · 11 seasons
When it mattered.
Postseason against the field. A smaller, self-selected population, so it is marked on the scale rather than filled1,215 all-time peers
Playoff career · 45 GP · 10 G · 4 A · 14 pts (0.311 P/GP)
52.3
62.9
73.8
Last five games.
Most recent official appearancesofficial game log
2026-05-03vs MTLPlayoff12:38 TOI0G 0A0 P · 2 S
2026-05-01@ MTLPlayoff12:25 TOI0G 0A0 P · 0 S
2026-04-26@ MTLPlayoff7:33 TOI0G 0A0 P · 0 S
2026-04-24@ MTLPlayoff7:58 TOI0G 0A0 P · 1 S
2026-04-21vs MTLPlayoff13:32 TOI0G 0A0 P · 3 S
What this draft slot returns.
Base rate for the exact pick, a history, never a forecastdraft-position study · 2026-07-14-prospect-translation-v2.32
2013 draft#101round 4 · DAL
Rates: insufficient sample (n=8 of 32): no NHLer/impact/star/stayer rate shown for this cohort.
Sample: 8 forwards taken #101, drawn only from classes old enough to judge, on the Schuckers-style pick curve published on Draft Value. A base rate describes a slot, not a person: it cannot predict this career and is not used to grade it.
Floor rule: rates below a minimum sample are suppressed, not shown thin. Exact slot needs 12+ players, the pooled pick-curve band needs 32+, matching this site's builders to the nhl-draft-intel engine's own bucket-calibration floors (12 / 18 / 32).
Against history.
Percentile against every NHL peercareer totals · position-aware
The height of the career.
Peak season and the best five41+ GP qualified seasons
2023-24 peak: 82 GP / 24 G / 22 A / 46 Pts / 0.561 P/GP · 17:16 TOI
| Best five | GP | G | A | PTS | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | 82 | 24 | 22 | 46 | 0.561 |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 22 | 19 | 41 | 0.539 |
| 2022-23 | 80 | 17 | 15 | 32 | 0.400 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 16 | 16 | 32 | 0.400 |
| 2019-20 | 56 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 0.357 |
| Prime-five | 374 | 88 | 83 | 171 | 0.457 |
Honours.
Trophies won and near missesofficial NHL landing
Frank J. Selke Trophy27th · 2021
Career
Where he stands right now.
2025-26 league position and career shapeNHL league browser 2025-26
Season by season.
Every NHL season · peak highlighted, split seasons kept apart12 regular-season rows
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PPP | S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 51 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 3 | 68 |
| 2024-25 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 76 | 22 | 19 | 41 | +13 | 5 | 141 |
| 2023-24Peak | Tampa Bay Lightning | 82 | 24 | 22 | 46 | -16 | 14 | 153 |
| 2022-23 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 80 | 17 | 15 | 32 | +11 | 4 | 120 |
| 2021-22 | Ottawa Senators | 59 | 11 | 7 | 18 | -18 | 2 | 131 |
| 2021-22 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 21 | 5 | 9 | 14 | +4 | 0 | 35 |
| 2020-21 | Ottawa Senators | 56 | 5 | 15 | 20 | +5 | 2 | 105 |
| 2019-20 | Ottawa Senators | 56 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 103 |
| 2018-19 | Ottawa Senators | 20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -10 | 0 | 30 |
| 2017-18 | Ottawa Senators | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 | 11 |
| 2016-17 | Ottawa Senators | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 4 |
| 2015-16 | Ottawa Senators | 24 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 0 | 28 |
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PPP | S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 7 |
| 2024-25 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 | 12 |
| 2023-24 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 1 | 14 |
| 2022-23 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 8 |
| 2021-22 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 23 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 44 |
The same numbers, in the league that produced them.
Every qualified season levelled to a 3.00-goal NHLofficial final standings · 1990-91 onward
2023-24 is the best season either way: 0.561 raw, 0.541 once the league it happened in is levelled out.
| Season | GP | Raw P/GP | League GF/gm | Adj. P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 51 | 0.294 | 3.13 | 0.282 |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 0.539 | 3.04 | 0.532 |
| 2023-24Best adjusted | 82 | 0.561 | 3.11 | 0.541 |
| 2022-23 | 80 | 0.400 | 3.18 | 0.377 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 0.400 | 3.14 | 0.382 |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 0.357 | 2.94 | 0.365 |
| 2019-20 | 56 | 0.357 | 3.02 | 0.355 |
| 2018-19 | 20 | 0.100 | 3.01 | 0.100 |
| 2015-16 | 24 | 0.208 | 2.71 | 0.230 |
Method: each season's raw points per game is multiplied by 3.00 ÷ that season's league goals per team-game, taken from the official final standings. Seasons under 20 games are excluded. It levels scoring climate and nothing else (not role, ice time, teammates, schedule or injury), so treat it as one comparison, not a verdict.
Before the NHL.
Junior, college, European and international rowsofficial NHL landing · season totals
| Season | League | Team | GP | G | A | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | WC | Canada | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2020-21 | WC | Canada | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2019-20 | AHL | Belleville Senators | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 2018-19 | AHL | Belleville Senators | 43 | 16 | 23 | 39 |
| 2017-18 | AHL | Belleville Senators | 54 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| 2016-17 | AHL | Binghamton Senators | 72 | 15 | 22 | 37 |
| 2015-16 | AHL | Binghamton | 45 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| 2014-15 | OHL | North Bay | 58 | 37 | 29 | 66 |
| 2014-15 | WJC-A | Canada | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2014-15 | OHL | North Bay | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| 2013-14 | OHL | North Bay | 67 | 26 | 20 | 46 |
| 2013-14 | OHL | North Bay | 22 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| 2012-13 | OHL | Brampton | 66 | 12 | 16 | 28 |
| 2012-13 | OHL | Brampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 2011-12 | Exhib. | Miss. Reps | 30 | 23 | 28 | 51 |
| 2011-12 | GTHL | Miss. Reps | 33 | 25 | 32 | 57 |
| 2011-12 | ON-Jr.A | Mississauga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2010-11 | GTHL | Miss. Senators | 37 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 2009-10 | Big Nickel Bntm Tourn. | Mississauga Senators Bantam AAA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
The comparable set.
Chosen by a printed rule, not by feelNHL dossier pool · 1,162 careers
Selection rule. Forwards only; career games played within ±20% of 537 (or ±10 games, whichever band is wider: 430 to 644); then the five nearest by career P/GP, ties broken by the closest games played. The pool is the 1,162 players in this site's NHL dossier set who own at least one official regular-season game: 82 of them cleared the band.
Jesperi KotkaniemiC · 2018 #3 · active518 GP · 78 G · 125 A · 203 P0.392 P/GP · −0.007Warren FoegeleL · 2014 #67 · active581 GP · 117 G · 109 A · 226 P0.389 P/GP · −0.010Danton HeinenL · 2014 #116 · retired612 GP · 102 G · 151 A · 253 P0.413 P/GP · +0.015Kasperi KapanenR · 2014 #22 · active568 GP · 98 G · 141 A · 239 P0.421 P/GP · +0.022Vinnie HinostrozaC · 2012 #169 · active477 GP · 65 G · 114 A · 179 P0.375 P/GP · −0.023
Similar career shape is not similar player. The rule matches volume and rate only; it knows nothing about era, position within the group, usage or role, and two careers can land on the same line for opposite reasons.
Game log
Compare observed minutes, shots and finishing across game windows →
Official game ledger
Every 2025-26 appearance.
Loading the complete official ledger…official NHL game log
Insights
NHL Edge tracking.
Measured puck and player tracking · 2025-26 regular seasonNHL Edge tracking · api-web.nhle.com · coverage from 2021-22 · fetched 2026-08-17
Tracked axisMeasuredPercentile, 0 to 100Pct
Top shot speed82.9mph36.2
133.5 km/h equivalent · league average 83.6 mph
Max skating speed22.5mph63.7
36.2 km/h equivalent · league average 22.2 mph
Distance skated180.6km44.6
112.2 mi equivalent · league average 198.8 km
Most distance in one game5.5km73.1
3.4 mi equivalent · league average 4.7 km
Bursts over 20 mph67bursts53.1
league average 75.2
Where the shift was spent
Offensive zone time42.2%51.3
league average 43.1
Neutral zone time18.1%69.2
league average 16.8
Defensive zone time39.7%54.6
league average 40.1
Shots on goal, by location
All shots on goal68shots47.4
league average 85.9 shots
High-danger shots on goal31shots52.9
league average 31.6 shots
Method: every figure and every percentile on this panel is published by the NHL Edge endpoint. This site converts nothing and ranks nothing. The percentile column is the league's own, against the tracked population for 2025-26. Speeds arrive in mph and km/h; distance is read in kilometres with the mile conversion stated beside it. Tracked seasons on file for this player: 2021-22, 2022-23, 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26.
The shot map.
Where his shots came from · 2025-26 regular season · NHL Edge areasNHL Edge shot-location detail · api-web.nhle.com · fetched 2026-08-18
Hover, tap or focus an area for its exact figures. Net at the top; left and right as the shooter sees them.
AreaShotsShare of hisPct
Low Slot285 G55th
High Slot91 G59th
Outside R70 G75th
L Circle50 G43th
L Point50 G80th
R Circle50 G41th
Crease31 G48th
Offensive Neutral Zone20 G53th
Beyond Red Line10 G40th
Center Point10 G31th
R Net Side10 G32th
R Point10 G33th
Behind the Net00 G0th
L Corner00 G0th
L Net Side00 G0th
Outside L00 G0th
R Corner00 G0th
31high danger6 G · 19.4%
19mid danger1 G · 5.3%
7long range0 G · 0.0%
Method: 68 shots on goal in 2025-26, placed by the NHL into the areas it names; each area is shaded by its share of his total, so this map is his distribution and not a comparison to any other player. The percentile column is the league's own for shots from that area, where it publishes one; nothing is converted, ranked or combined. Areas as the NHL names them; the drawing is to rink proportion with the net at the top.
Awards voting.
0 trophy wins · 0 top-three finishes · 1 ballot appearances · 0 first-place votesNHL award ballot history
Development trails.
How the scoring rate movedNHL AI Development contract
Strict monotonic scoring-rate chains ending in 2025-26. Only 25-plus-game seasons count, and a trail needs at least three consecutive qualified seasons.
Points / game
3 consecutive qualified seasons · 69.7 average GP
Descriptive, not evaluative: raw P/GP, G/GP or A/GP movement. It does not control for age, role, ice time, teammates, injury, schedule or uncertainty, and it is not a forecast or player-quality grade.
Opponent atlas.
Career results by opponentlocal NHL AI Opponent Atlas
Career volume leaders
Career vs.TOR16 points40 GP · 10 G · 6 A66 shots · 1 PP points
Career vs.FLA15 points35 GP · 8 G · 7 A74 shots · 4 PP points
Career vs.MTL13 points38 GP · 8 G · 5 A63 shots · 2 PP points
Career vs.CGY12 points21 GP · 3 G · 9 A32 shots · 1 PP points
Career vs.BUF12 points23 GP · 3 G · 9 A44 shots · 0 PP points
Career vs.NJD11 points15 GP · 5 G · 6 A23 shots · 0 PP pointsBest points-per-game matchups
Pace vs.NJD0.73 P/GP15 GP · 5 G · 6 A23 shots · 0 PP points
Pace vs.SJS0.69 P/GP13 GP · 6 G · 3 A35 shots · 1 PP points
Pace vs.NSH0.67 P/GP9 GP · 4 G · 2 A18 shots · 2 PP points
Pace vs.CHI0.60 P/GP10 GP · 3 G · 3 A19 shots · 0 PP pointsPace vs.CGY0.57 P/GP21 GP · 3 G · 9 A32 shots · 1 PP pointsPace vs.BUF0.52 P/GP23 GP · 3 G · 9 A44 shots · 0 PP pointsFrozen from the local NHL AI Opponent Atlas. These are descriptive career splits through the source snapshot, not a projection of the next matchup and not evidence that the opponent caused the result.
Against the goaltenders.
Best and worst goaltenders faced · 3 seasonsNHL play-by-play · 2023-24, 2024-25, 2025-26 · 4,192 games · fetched 2026-08-18
392 shots on goal against 76 goaltenders, 54 goals: 13.8% overall, against a league baseline of 10.2%. 1 of those goaltenders have seen the 20 shots a rate is published on below.
Best against: minimum 20 shots on goal
| Goaltender | SOG | G | SH% | Top shot |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei BobrovskyFLA | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | wrist |
Worst against: same 20-shot minimum
| Goaltender | SOG | G | SH% | Top shot |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei BobrovskyFLA | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | wrist |
Method: every shot is attributed to the goaltender the feed says was in the net (details.goalieInNetId). Blocked shots and empty-net events are both excluded, the first because the puck never reached a goaltender and the second because there was none to charge. Shooting percentage is goals divided by shots on goal, the league definition. The league baseline of 10.2% beside each rate is computed from the same 241,107 shots this dataset counted, so the two figures are measured the same way. A 20-shot minimum is a small sample by any standard and these boards will move; they are a record of what has happened, not a prediction of what will.
The source receipt.
Official basics plus named researchOfficial NHL API Web player landing, with local nhl api draft cache reuse
Career, season, game-log, bio, draft and award rows come from official NHL endpoints. Redraft is a separate hindsight model with its own snapshot clock. Pressure is a descriptive Gamelogs layer. Development Trails uses its own declared clock. Missing evidence stays unavailable rather than being drawn as zero.
Official endpoint: player landing · redraft 2026-07-10-redraft-v5.2 snapshot 2026-07-09.
The room.
Every current Toronto Maple Leafs teammate, one click awaycanonical player directory
